Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.336909 0.400274 0.471157 0.556165 0.655174 0.766676 0.901585
2024-12-29 0.246431 0.328943 0.431310 0.566942 0.741141 0.956492 1.241924
2025-01-05 0.196566 0.286108 0.405999 0.576785 0.812065 1.122753 1.561636
2025-01-12 0.158649 0.248514 0.376818 0.570970 0.854358 1.249267 1.836630
2025-01-19 0.131993 0.220662 0.354622 0.568312 0.896210 1.374729 2.118374
2025-01-26 0.117294 0.207687 0.351204 0.590903 0.974960 1.558077 2.498819
2025-02-02 0.113454 0.211128 0.372979 0.654131 1.121450 1.855103 3.076473
2025-02-09 0.102991 0.201348 0.371355 0.678289 1.207062 2.064545 3.536003
2025-02-16 0.089182 0.183181 0.352641 0.670505 1.237765 2.187340 3.865713
2025-02-23 0.075541 0.162959 0.327243 0.647177 1.238125 2.258314 4.113735
2025-03-02 0.063344 0.143437 0.300238 0.617020 1.222069 2.298221 4.310023
2025-03-09 0.058687 0.138512 0.300317 0.637521 1.299977 2.508030 4.818842
2025-03-16 0.049662 0.123105 0.278206 0.613427 1.293994 2.571589 5.081172
2025-03-23 0.045276 0.117267 0.274959 0.626957 1.362579 2.779094 5.626836
2025-03-30 0.041209 0.111421 0.270791 0.637840 1.426659 2.983187 6.182666
2025-04-06 0.036394 0.102861 0.259347 0.631462 1.454210 3.118345 6.616487
2025-04-13 0.032448 0.095734 0.250079 0.628544 1.488364 3.268901 7.092078
2025-04-20 0.030628 0.093844 0.252855 0.653339 1.584875 3.553585 7.858918
2025-04-27 0.031376 0.099084 0.273637 0.722697 1.786868 4.072247 9.142544
2025-05-04 0.029707 0.097234 0.276453 0.749186 1.894202 4.399750 10.052606
2025-05-11 0.026535 0.090418 0.265575 0.740651 1.919606 4.553521 10.607111
2025-05-18 0.023023 0.081862 0.248817 0.715071 1.901822 4.611013 10.958397
2025-05-25 0.019679 0.073111 0.230149 0.681994 1.862071 4.615574 11.193145